UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 3-4
Sheriff vs FC Iberia 1999 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
SIR
0 - 15
SHF
9%
17%
74%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
SHF
3 - 0
SPE
81%
14%
5%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
SHF
12 - 0
SIR
92%
7%
2%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
SHF
2 - 0
PET
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
COD
0 - 2
SHF
6%
18%
76%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
FC Iberia 1999
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
SAB
2 - 2
MET
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
LOK
1 - 0
SAB
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
SAB
0 - 0
DBA
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 2
SAB
20%
21%
59%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
SAB
2 - 1
SIO
78%
14%
7%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |