UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 4-2
Sheriff vs Torpedo Kutaisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
FTK
2 - 1
SHF
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
ISK
1 - 9
SHF
9%
16%
76%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
SHF
5 - 1
ZAR
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
SHF
0 - 0
MIL
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
ZIM
0 - 1
SHF
16%
26%
58%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Torpedo Kutaisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
FTK
2 - 1
SHF
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
FTK
3 - 0
KOL
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
SIO
1 - 2
FTK
17%
25%
58%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
FTK
1 - 2
SAB
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
FTK
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |