UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 2-1
Sheriff vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
41.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SHF
7 - 1
DIN
77%
16%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
CRV
1 - 1
SHF
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FLO
1 - 3
SHF
12%
20%
68%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
SHF
3 - 1
ALA
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 1
SHF
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
CRV
1 - 0
NAP
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
CRV
1 - 1
SHF
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FKS
1 - 3
CRV
22%
23%
56%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
CRV
5 - 0
KAI
60%
21%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CRV
1 - 0
MLA
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |