Shepton Mallet vs Cadbury Heath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
44.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepton Mallet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 0
SHE
39%
22%
40%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SHE
1 - 1
WIL
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SHE
1 - 4
TAV
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
SHE
15%
19%
67%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 2
SHE
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cadbury Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CAD
0 - 1
CIN
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
CAD
4 - 1
BOD
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BOD
2 - 2
CAD
29%
21%
50%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 2
CAD
62%
19%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
CAD
2 - 3
BRI
58%
20%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |