FA Cup Previa 3
Global 3-2
Shepton Mallet vs Blackfield & Langley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepton Mallet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 0
SHE
16%
18%
66%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
MLB
0 - 1
SHE
18%
19%
62%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
SHE
3 - 0
BUC
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SHE
4 - 0
BFC
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SHE
2 - 0
BAR
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Blackfield & Langley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
4 - 1
BLA
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 0
SHE
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 1
STO
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
FAR
27%
21%
52%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 2
AFC
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |