Shepshed vs Stamford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAM
3 - 3
SHE
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SOH
1 - 0
SHE
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 0
COR
14%
19%
67%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SHE
1 - 3
SPA
35%
24%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
DAV
0 - 5
SHE
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Stamford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
STO
3 - 0
STA
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 2
STA
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
STA
2 - 1
NOR
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
STA
2 - 2
HAL
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
STA
0 - 1
DAV
79%
15%
6%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -1 |