Shepshed vs Stamford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ILK
5 - 0
SHE
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SHE
2 - 3
BRI
15%
22%
63%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SHE
7 - 1
SHE
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
SHE
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SHE
0 - 3
LIN
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Stamford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
STA
0 - 1
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
SHE
6 - 0
STA
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GOO
1 - 1
STA
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
LEE
2 - 0
STA
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STA
1 - 1
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |