FA Cup Previa 2
Global 3-4
Shepshed vs Spalding United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 1
SHE
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
COR
0 - 1
SHE
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 2
BED
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SLE
0 - 2
SHE
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 3
BAR
16%
21%
64%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 1
SHE
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 0
RUS
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 3
SPA
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
STR
2 - 1
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
STI
1 - 2
SPA
45%
25%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |