Shepshed vs Spalding United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
SHE
1 - 2
GRE
30%
26%
44%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 1
SHE
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SHE
0 - 2
SHE
26%
24%
50%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 0
SHE
60%
22%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
SHE
2 - 3
STO
26%
26%
48%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
SPA
1 - 3
CAR
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
SPA
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 0
SPA
73%
18%
10%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 2
GRE
24%
26%
50%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
CAM
1 - 1
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |