Shepshed vs Romulus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
70.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 2
BRI
14%
21%
65%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SHE
3 - 2
SHE
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
QUO
0 - 0
SHE
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 4
KID
11%
19%
70%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 0
BEL
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
0 - 2
SHE
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
LEE
0 - 2
ROM
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 4
ROM
26%
23%
52%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 7
ROM
11%
19%
70%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
0 - 1
GRA
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |