Shepshed vs Rocester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
SHE
1 - 1
ROU
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
COL
3 - 0
SHE
66%
20%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CHO
5 - 0
SHE
65%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
EAS
4 - 1
SHE
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
KEN
0 - 0
SHE
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rocester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
BEL
2 - 0
ROC
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
ROC
1 - 4
ROU
17%
21%
62%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
WIL
3 - 0
ROC
82%
13%
5%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
ROC
0 - 3
BRI
16%
22%
62%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 1
ROC
85%
11%
5%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | 0 |