Shepshed vs Quorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
60%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STA
3 - 0
SHE
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
BRI
3 - 2
SHE
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 2
NEW
11%
18%
72%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 5
COA
12%
20%
68%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
RAI
2 - 1
SHE
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
QUO
0 - 5
GRA
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
QUO
3 - 3
KID
31%
24%
46%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
QUO
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
QUO
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
QUO
2 - 2
NEW
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |