Shepshed vs Quorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
WAR
1 - 2
SHE
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
SHE
2 - 0
GRA
30%
26%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
BRI
0 - 1
SHE
54%
23%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
SHE
0 - 1
SPA
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
SHE
1 - 2
GRE
30%
26%
44%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
GRA
2 - 0
QUO
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
QUO
3 - 2
ALS
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
SHE
0 - 0
QUO
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
WAR
1 - 1
QUO
54%
23%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
QUO
2 - 2
RET
17%
22%
62%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +1 |