Shepshed vs Mossley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BRI
2 - 1
SHE
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
SHE
1 - 4
STA
18%
23%
59%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SHE
2 - 1
WAR
33%
26%
42%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 1
SHE
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 1
SHE
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
KID
1 - 4
MOS
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
MOS
1 - 1
KID
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
MOS
2 - 1
GAR
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
MOS
1 - 4
SKE
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
FYL
0 - 2
MOS
52%
23%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |