Shepshed vs Mossley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
52.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
SHE
0 - 1
BEL
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
SHE
0 - 0
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
SHE
1 - 2
WOS
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BAM
2 - 1
SHE
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
WAR
2 - 2
SHE
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
MOS
2 - 1
KID
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
MOS
2 - 0
STO
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
MOS
2 - 1
CHO
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ROU
0 - 0
MOS
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
MOS
1 - 2
COL
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |