Shepshed vs Mossley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
SHE
2 - 3
WIL
19%
23%
58%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
CLI
2 - 0
SHE
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
CUM
6 - 0
SHE
82%
12%
7%
|
19 | 55 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 4
MOS
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
MOS
5 - 1
ROC
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |