Shepshed vs Maltby Main analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
18.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
SHE
4 - 5
WOR
11%
15%
74%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WOR
3 - 3
SHE
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SHE
0 - 1
NAN
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SHE
6 - 1
LEE
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +4 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SHE
3 - 0
KMW
63%
19%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Maltby Main
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
FRI
1 - 2
MAL
75%
14%
10%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MAL
1 - 2
FRI
7%
12%
82%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
RUN
1 - 2
MAL
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MAL
3 - 0
ATH
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CAM
4 - 1
MAL
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |