Shepshed vs Harrogate Railway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
SHE
2 - 0
RUS
29%
27%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
OSS
2 - 3
SHE
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 1
SHE
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
GOO
4 - 1
SHE
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
WIT
2 - 0
SHE
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 3
COL
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 1
WOS
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
WOS
2 - 2
HAR
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 1
HAR
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 1
WAK
43%
26%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |