Shepshed vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
GRE
0 - 0
SHE
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
SHE
0 - 1
STO
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
BRI
0 - 1
SHE
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
BRI
1 - 0
SHE
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
COL
2 - 0
SHE
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
GRE
0 - 0
SHE
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
COL
6 - 0
GRE
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 1
BAM
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
MOS
3 - 1
GRE
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 2
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |