Shepshed vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
HUC
2 - 2
SHE
75%
16%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
COA
2 - 0
SHE
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SHE
0 - 1
LOU
18%
23%
59%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 1
SHE
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 1
RAI
35%
25%
40%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GOO
3 - 4
GRA
25%
23%
51%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SUT
1 - 1
GOO
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
COA
3 - 1
GOO
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GOO
3 - 0
ILK
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +6 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GOO
2 - 0
QUO
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |