Shepshed vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
OSS
1 - 1
SHE
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2005 |
SPA
2 - 2
SHE
39%
25%
36%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
SHE
0 - 3
KEN
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SHE
0 - 0
BRI
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
STO
3 - 1
SHE
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
GOO
0 - 4
STO
29%
25%
46%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
CHO
0 - 1
GOO
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
GOO
1 - 0
BIS
24%
24%
53%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
GOO
2 - 3
WAR
25%
25%
50%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2005 |
EAS
3 - 3
GOO
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +1 |