Shepshed vs Glapwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
75%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 2
SHE
12%
19%
69%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GLA
1 - 2
SHE
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 2
LIN
12%
19%
69%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
RAI
3 - 2
SHE
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 2
NEW
14%
20%
67%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Glapwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
GLA
1 - 0
STA
68%
18%
13%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
GLA
3 - 5
RUS
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
GLA
0 - 1
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GLA
1 - 2
SHE
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LEE
0 - 2
GLA
19%
22%
58%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |