Shepshed vs Corby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
67.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SHE
1 - 3
SPA
35%
24%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
DAV
0 - 5
SHE
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SHE
3 - 1
HIS
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
YAX
1 - 1
SHE
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WIS
1 - 4
SHE
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Corby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
YAX
0 - 3
COR
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BOS
6 - 0
COR
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
HIS
0 - 5
COR
13%
18%
68%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HAL
3 - 0
COR
52%
23%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
COR
1 - 0
SOH
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |