Shepshed vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SHE
2 - 1
EAS
19%
24%
57%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
SHE
3 - 1
BEL
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
STO
6 - 2
SHE
65%
22%
14%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
COL
2 - 0
SHE
52%
25%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
SKE
1 - 2
SHE
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
BUX
0 - 2
BEL
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
ROU
1 - 3
BUX
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
BUX
4 - 0
CHO
76%
16%
9%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
SKE
0 - 1
BUX
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
BUX
0 - 1
SKE
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |