Shepshed vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
STA
1 - 1
SHE
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SHE
3 - 1
RAI
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
7 - 2
SHE
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 1
SHE
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SHE
1 - 4
MOS
33%
26%
41%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 0
RUS
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
BAR
22%
23%
56%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
SPA
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SUT
1 - 0
BAR
65%
19%
17%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
RUS
0 - 1
BAR
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |