Shepshed vs Alsager Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
KEN
1 - 2
SHE
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
SHE
1 - 1
BRI
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2006 |
MOS
2 - 3
SHE
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
SHE
4 - 0
FLE
18%
23%
60%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
ROU
2 - 4
SHE
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alsager Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
BAM
2 - 2
ALS
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |