Shepshed vs AFC Mansfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
RUS
4 - 1
SHE
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SHE
0 - 0
RUS
15%
20%
65%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
SHE
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SHE
1 - 0
RET
27%
24%
50%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SHE
3 - 2
SHE
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Mansfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
HYD
1 - 1
MAN
58%
20%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SNA
2 - 1
MAN
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | -2 |