Shenzhen FC vs Guangzhou City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
24.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
BEI
1 - 0
SHE
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SHE
1 - 1
QIN
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
GUI
1 - 0
SHE
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SHE
1 - 1
TIT
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 0
SHE
69%
19%
11%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 5
QIN
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
TIT
2 - 0
GUA
63%
24%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHA
30%
29%
42%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
HAN
3 - 0
GUA
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 0
DAL
22%
27%
52%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |