Shenzhen FC vs Guangzhou City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
19%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
SHE
1 - 0
GUI
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SHA
0 - 2
SHE
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
DAL
0 - 0
SHE
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
SHE
1 - 1
SIC
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
TIT
0 - 2
SHE
34%
29%
38%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
GUI
3 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
GUA
4 - 0
SIC
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CHO
1 - 0
GUA
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHA
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
LIA
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |