Shenzhen FC vs Guangzhou City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
BEI
2 - 0
SHE
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
SHE
2 - 0
GUO
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
SHA
1 - 1
SHE
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
SHE
1 - 0
TIT
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHE
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
GUA
3 - 0
QIN
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
SIC
1 - 1
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 2
YHO
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
LIA
4 - 2
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHE
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |