Shenzhen FC vs Chengdu Rongcheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
58.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
16º
16º
53
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NHC
1 - 1
SHE
43%
22%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 1
SHE
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 0
SHE
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SHE
3 - 2
MEI
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
SHA
3 - 0
SHE
84%
12%
4%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
CBC
5%
14%
81%
|
73 | 29 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
CBC
0 - 0
TIT
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
CBC
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CBC
1 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
CBC
2 - 1
SHA
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |