Shenzhen FC vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
73.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
16º
16º
51
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WFC
1 - 0
SHE
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
CBC
4 - 0
SHE
81%
14%
6%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 1
CHA
12%
20%
69%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 5
HAN
8%
18%
74%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MEI
5 - 1
SHE
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BEI
2 - 3
CBC
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 2
BEI
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BEI
2 - 0
DAL
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
BEI
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BEI
0 - 1
HAN
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |