Shenzhen Juniors vs Chongqing Tonglianglong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
13º
13º
40
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 52 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 48 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 41 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 37 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 34 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 29 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
44% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 84% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 1
SHE
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SHE
2 - 1
DUF
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SHE
1 - 1
WFC
3%
8%
89%
|
35 | 73 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NHC
0 - 2
SHE
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 0
LAN
47%
23%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Chongqing Tonglianglong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CHO
2 - 1
SHE
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 1
QFC
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
4 - 0
CHO
60%
20%
20%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
BEI
4 - 2
CHO
88%
9%
3%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
DAL
3 - 1
CHO
31%
23%
47%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |