Shenzhen Juniors vs Jiangxi Dingnan United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
13º
13º
20
6º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
68.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 52 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 49 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 43 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 41 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 41 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 37 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 26 |
15º
|
45.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 21 |
16º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SDO
0 - 0
SHE
55%
25%
21%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SHE
4 - 0
HKF
27%
27%
46%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SHU
3 - 2
SHE
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
SHE
2 - 1
GGZ
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
SHE
1 - 5
DAL
10%
16%
73%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Jiangxi Dingnan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ANH
2 - 1
NAN
29%
26%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 1
ANH
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
YAN
3 - 0
ANH
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
ANH
1 - 2
YUN
8%
12%
80%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ANH
3 - 3
SHE
21%
26%
53%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |