Shenyang Shenbei vs Guangdong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenyang Shenbei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
DAL
2 - 2
SHE
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 1
HOH
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 0
SHE
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 2
WUZ
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHE
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Guangdong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 3
HOH
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WUZ
2 - 3
GUA
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
SHA
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BEI
0 - 0
GUA
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 2
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |