Shark XI vs Motema Pembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shark XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
SHA
3 - 0
ELI
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 1
NSP
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
VCL
2 - 1
SHA
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
ASD
0 - 2
SHA
46%
29%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
ELI
0 - 0
SHA
39%
31%
30%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Motema Pembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 1
ROJ
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
MOT
1 - 0
VUT
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 2
VCL
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
NSP
0 - 4
MOT
45%
29%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
ELI
1 - 1
MOT
36%
30%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |