Shanghái Port vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
4º
3º
8
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 65 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 61 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 51 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 38 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 35 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 32 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 23 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
25.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
23.5% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 56.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghái Port
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
3 - 1
SJF
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
0 - 2
YFM
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
VIS
4 - 0
SHA
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 3
SHA
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
LOK
1 - 2
SHA
41%
24%
36%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 1
CHA
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
QIN
1 - 2
CHA
33%
23%
44%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
4 - 0
CHO
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 1
GUA
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
BEI
2 - 0
CHA
69%
18%
14%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |