Shanghai Shenhua vs Guangzhou City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
BEI
3 - 2
SHA
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 1
JIA
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
SHA
1 - 0
BEI
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 0
SHA
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SHA
1 - 0
DAL
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
BEI
22%
28%
50%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
WUZ
2 - 1
GUA
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SHA
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BEI
0 - 2
GUA
25%
29%
47%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |