Shanghai Shenhua vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
5º
1º
8
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 65 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 61 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 51 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 38 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 35 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 32 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 23 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
36.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
29.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
22% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 56.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
4 - 2
VIS
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
YFM
1 - 0
SHA
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 3
SHA
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
BEI
4 - 1
SHA
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
SHA
4 - 1
QYI
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
QIN
1 - 2
CHA
33%
23%
44%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
4 - 0
CHO
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 1
GUA
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
BEI
2 - 0
CHA
69%
18%
14%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
TIT
2 - 1
CHA
46%
23%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |