Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
5º
1º
38
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 65 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 61 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 51 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 38 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 35 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 32 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 23 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
36.5% | 32% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
29.5% | 33% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
22% | 21% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 1
CHA
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
4 - 2
VIS
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
YFM
1 - 0
SHA
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 3
SHA
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
BEI
4 - 1
SHA
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
YUN
0 - 2
BEI
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
RAT
1 - 1
BEI
11%
17%
72%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
HWA
2 - 1
BEI
22%
23%
55%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BEI
1 - 0
GUA
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
BEI
4 - 1
SHA
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |