Shams Azar Qazvin vs Mes Rafsanjan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shams Azar Qazvin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
NAS
1 - 0
SAQ
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
SAQ
0 - 1
MAL
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
SAQ
1 - 2
EST
38%
25%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
EKU
1 - 0
SAQ
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SAQ
1 - 1
SEP
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
MES
1 - 0
CHA
49%
28%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
GOH
0 - 0
MES
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
MES
0 - 1
NAS
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
MES
0 - 0
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AAK
0 - 0
MES
42%
29%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |