Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 3-0
Shamrock Rovers vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 0
SHR
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 2
SHR
32%
28%
41%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
BOH
3 - 1
SHR
29%
29%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
SHR
4 - 1
DER
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
SHR
5 - 1
SLR
61%
24%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 0
SHR
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 4
PRO
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 0
RUM
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 0
VIC
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
KAE
2 - 1
PRO
26%
27%
48%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |