Shamakhi vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
8º
7º
89
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
SHA
0 - 1
ARA
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SFK
3 - 1
SHA
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SHA
1 - 1
SEB
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
TUR
1 - 1
SHA
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 1
FCK
52%
27%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
QAR
3 - 0
FCK
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
QAR
2 - 0
ARA
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
QAR
2 - 0
SUM
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SFK
1 - 1
QAR
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
QAR
3 - 0
ARA
57%
21%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |