Shamakhi vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
8º
7º
89
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
SEB
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
TUR
3 - 2
SHA
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
ZIR
3 - 1
SHA
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
FCK
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 1
SHA
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
QAR
5 - 0
SUM
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
ELF
1 - 0
QAR
63%
20%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SFK
1 - 1
QAR
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 2
QAR
31%
23%
46%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FKN
0 - 3
QAR
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |