Sham Shui Po vs Tai Chung analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
HON
6 - 0
SHA
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 2
HON
44%
24%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 3
PFC
15%
18%
67%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SHA
0 - 1
SHS
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WTP
1 - 2
SHA
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tai Chung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
TCS
0 - 0
EAS
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TCS
4 - 3
WAN
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TCS
0 - 8
BIU
28%
24%
49%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TCS
1 - 1
KWU
63%
20%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
HVA
0 - 1
TCS
67%
18%
16%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |