Sham Shui Po vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
84%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.6%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
RES
8 - 0
SHA
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SHS
0 - 3
SHA
14%
19%
67%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
WAN
1 - 4
SHA
18%
21%
61%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SHA
0 - 3
YTS
70%
18%
11%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
FUM
3 - 4
SHA
17%
22%
62%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
HON
4 - 3
CAA
85%
10%
5%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SCA
3 - 2
HON
13%
18%
69%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
HON
2 - 2
YOK
77%
15%
9%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CAA
1 - 4
HON
15%
19%
67%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 3
HON
32%
22%
46%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |