Shakhter Karagandy vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
10º
12º
13º
39
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 1
SHA
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
KAI
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ZHE
1 - 0
SHA
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 1
SHA
25%
23%
53%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
AST
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 0
TOB
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
AST
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
ZHE
57%
25%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 1
FKZ
55%
26%
20%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AST
2 - 2
TOB
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |