Shakhter Karagandy vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
13º
10º
34
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
49.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KAI
0 - 0
SHA
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 2
KAI
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAQ
3 - 1
SHA
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 0
OKZ
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KYZ
1 - 1
SHA
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
KYZ
1 - 1
TOB
39%
29%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 2
ZHE
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AST
2 - 1
TOB
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
VKP
3 - 0
TOB
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 0
ORD
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |