Shakhter Karagandy vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
KAS
4 - 0
SHA
31%
28%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
AKZ
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 1
SHA
27%
28%
46%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SHA
5 - 1
MAQ
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 1
SHA
27%
26%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
TOB
1 - 1
AST
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
ATY
2 - 1
TOB
23%
28%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
TOB
2 - 2
KAI
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ORD
3 - 1
TOB
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
TOB
3 - 0
FKT
58%
24%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |