Shakhter Karagandy vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
AST
1 - 1
SHA
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
SHA
0 - 1
ORD
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
SHA
0 - 1
ATY
57%
25%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
SHA
1 - 1
FCI
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SHA
2 - 1
FCA
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
TOB
2 - 5
FCA
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
FCI
2 - 1
TOB
40%
28%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
AST
0 - 0
TOB
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
TOB
1 - 4
ORD
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
TOB
1 - 1
SHA
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |